ACUS11 KWNS 290001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290000=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-290100-

Mesoscale Discussion 2306
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0600 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024

Areas affected...southern Louisiana and far southern Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 720...

Valid 290000Z - 290100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 720 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for tornadoes and wind to continue across southern
Louisiana into far southern Mississippi.

DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms with embedded supercells
structures continues across portions of southern Louisiana into
Mississippi as of 00z. The environment across this region remains
highly favorable, with MLCAPE around 2000-2500 J/kg amid surface dew
points in the upper 60s to 70s. Forcing for ascent has begun to
gradually shift northward but strongly sheared profiles remain
favorable for supercell maintenance. VAD profiles from HDC (Hammond,
LA) show favorable curvature in the bottom 0-3 km, with 0-500m SRH
around 300 m2/s2. This in combination with favorable thermodynamics
will continue to support a risk for tornadoes, some of which may be
strong. Potential for damaging winds will also remain likely with
more linear storm modes. Local extension of WW720 has occurred
across southeastern LA into southern MS to cover this threat.

..Thornton/Gleason.. 12/29/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4-gY0i-PjCNXKVPstREdxp7bkJh1MQSNG2hIV2-Xu4AxoJgEzJxpdVSqcWYVfDRZcFypjzWo3= 1W9qWIex_qmFEpUarw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 29869314 30279264 30629219 30849184 31019133 31019046
31028996 30988938 30878872 30718850 30498850 30298855
29948873 29648904 29348968 29329038 29439150 29619255
29869314=20


=3D =3D =3D
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