• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0014

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jan 5 21:20:57 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 052120
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 052119=20
    LAZ000-TXZ000-052245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0014
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0319 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

    Areas affected...central Louisiana into far southeast Texas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

    Valid 052119Z - 052245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a
    risk for damaging wind gusts and a couple tornadoes from central
    Louisiana into far southeast Texas the remainder of the afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...A QLCS just ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front
    will continue to pose a risk for isolated damaging gusts and a
    couple of tornadoes, especially across central Louisiana, over the
    next few hours. Additional more semi-discrete cells have developed
    across the modestly unstable warm sector ahead of the QLCS. This
    activity is occurring in a strongly sheared environment, supporting
    organized convection with intermittent rotation. However, stronger
    surface pressure falls and large-scale ascent will continue to shift
    northeast of this area. This may ultimately result in a somewhat
    suppressed severe risk compared to areas to the northeast across
    northeast LA into western MS.

    ..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!60I6KUzrYdE9WA1HS-IW67j57jc4awPBytWbtV-tQK6tStaQhi2FKZWhDmjPHfbuWO-klYNUO= zYME3Eqsk7qQkbtbDw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...

    LAT...LON 31989299 32149279 32159229 32059201 31839194 31269210
    30859237 30369289 30109400 30069458 30329477 31989299=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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