• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0029

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jan 10 08:43:00 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 100842
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 100842=20
    TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-MOZ000-101345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0029
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0242 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

    Areas affected...Central/northern AR into northern MS and western TN

    Concerning...Heavy snow=20

    Valid 100842Z - 101345Z

    SUMMARY...Occasional snow rates of near/above 1 inch per hour remain
    possible through the early morning.

    DISCUSSION...Moderate to occasionally heavy snow is ongoing early
    this morning across parts of far eastern OK into central/northern
    AR, in association with a mid/upper-level shortwave trough moving
    from the southern Plains towards the lower MS Valley. Low-level
    warm/moist advection and favorable upper jet dynamics will continue
    to support an extensive precipitation plume through the overnight.
    Surface observations and recent dual-pol data from KLZK and KNQA
    suggest the transition between snow and mixed precipitation types
    has remained relatively stationary to the south of Little Rock and
    Memphis (with some oscillation) over the last 1-2 hours, and a
    subfreezing column was maintained on the 05Z LZK sounding, though
    with near 0C observed between 850-750 mb.=20

    Precipitation rates will remain supportive of moderate to locally
    heavy snow through the early morning across parts of
    central/northern AR, with an increase in snow rates expected with
    time into western TN and far northern MS. Some mixing will remain
    possible along the southern portion of the MCD area, especially
    where somewhat stronger low-level warm advection persists across
    northern MS.

    ..Dean.. 01/10/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6MhXyK2vR-RlTOazStKbol08mCfBSwTb6EaC5dZhfdSUUMFNUfYOTFkM04tMicE2Qq_G2oLIY= jVIIHAK4ozxWmzgfJI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...TSA...

    LAT...LON 34709429 35499418 36219360 36429297 36379136 36089041
    35748914 35648874 35508829 35228808 34798831 34608945
    34499080 34539291 34499369 34529411 34709429=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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