672
AXNT20 KNHC 151058
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Feb 15 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Winds will pulse to gale force offshore
of Colombia early this morning, and again tonight into early Sun
as a strong pressure gradient prevails between high pressure in
the western Atlantic and the Colombian low. Locally very rough
seas are expected near and to the west of the gale force winds.
Pulsing strong to near-gale force winds are expected each night
and early morning into next week.

SW Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A cold front will enter the
northwestern Gulf of Mexico early on Sun, with strong N winds and
rough seas occurring behind the front west of 90W as it moves
southeastward. Gale force winds are expected offshore of Veracruz
on Sun in the wake of the front. Winds will diminish from north to
south by Mon morning.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 05N09W and extends to
03N15W. The ITCZ continues from 03N15W to 02S36W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring south of 05N and east of 18W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information
regarding a Gale Warning in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sun.

A cold front extends from west-central Florida to 26N76W.
Elsewhere, a 1016 mb low is located in southeastern Texas, and a
trough extends toward the south through the central Bay of
Campeche. Moderate to locally fresh SE winds are occurring across
the eastern, central and northwestern Gulf of Mexico, with gentle
to locally moderate winds in the southwestern basin, including the
Bay of Campeche. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are noted across the basin.

For the forecast, pulsing fresh to locally strong SE to E winds
will prevail in the southern Gulf early this morning, offshore of
the Yucatan Peninsula and northwestern Cuba. A warm front will
lift northward through the northern basin today, and moderate to
fresh SE to E winds are expected to develop across much of the
basin, including through the Florida Straits. Locally strong S
winds and rough seas will be possible in the northwestern Gulf
offshore of Texas later this morning, with more widespread strong
S to SW winds developing in the north-central Gulf late tonight
into Sun. The next cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico early on Sun, with strong N winds and rough seas occurring
behind the front west of 90W as it moves southeastward. Gale
force winds are expected offshore of Veracruz on Sun in the wake
of the front. Winds will diminish from north to south by Mon
morning, with transient high pressure expected over the basin
through Tue. Looking ahead, another cold front will move into the
northwestern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information
regarding a Gale Warning in the south-central Caribbean offshore of Colombia.

Pulsing gale force winds are occurring offshore of northwestern
Colombia, with strong winds occurring through the central
Caribbean, through the Windward Passage and across the Atlantic
Passages into the eastern basin. Elsewhere, fresh trade winds
prevail in the southwestern and eastern basin, with moderate winds
in the northwestern basin. Rough seas cover much of the central
and eastern Caribbean, with locally very rough seas to 13 ft
occurring near the gales. Otherwise, moderate seas prevail in the
northwestern Caribbean.

For the forecast, winds will pulse to gale force offshore of
Colombia early this morning, and again tonight into early Sun as a
strong pressure gradient prevails between high pressure in the
western Atlantic and the Colombian low. Locally very rough seas
are expected near and to the west of the gale force winds.
Widespread fresh trade winds and rough seas will occur across the
central and eastern Caribbean through this weekend, with winds
pulsing to strong speeds in the Gulf of Venezuela, through the
Windward Passage, downwind of Hispaniola, in the lee of Cuba, in
the Gulf of Honduras, and through the Atlantic Passages.
Elsewhere, pulsing fresh NE winds are expected in the western
basin. Looking ahead, a decreasing pressure gradient between the
Colombian low and high pressure in the western and central
Atlantic will support moderate to fresh trade winds and locally
rough seas across the basin into early next week, with locally
strong winds occurring offshore of Colombia.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 31N55W southwestward into south Florida,
and fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas are
occurring north of the front. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front
has been analyzed from 31N20W to 31N33W to 27N43W. Rough seas are
occurring near this cold front, with very rough seas noted north
of 28N and east of 39W. Farther south, moderate to fresh NE to E
winds prevail south of 25N, with locally strong winds and rough
seas occurring east of the Windward Islands from 12N to 18N west of 45W.

For the forecast, a cold front extending from 31N55W to south
Florida will progress southeastward this morning before stalling
along 28N later today, and dissipate by Sun. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds are expected north of the front this morning.
Pulsing fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will also occur
north of Hispaniola and Cuba and near the Bahamas into Sun. A
long-period N swell associated with this cold front will produce
rough seas north of 27N by late morning, and north of 23N by Sun
morning. Very rough seas of 12 to 14 ft will be possible north of
28N and east of 60W late tonight through Sun. Farther south, fresh
trade winds and rough seas will prevail south of 23N through this
weekend, with winds pulsing to strong speeds at times east of the
Windward Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds and rough
seas will then occur in this region through at least the middle
of next week. Elsewhere, winds will turn to the S and strengthen
west of 70W off the coast of Florida by early Sun ahead of the
next cold front forecast to move off the coast of the southeastern
United States Sun night. This front will reach from Bermuda to
the Florida Straits by Mon afternoon, then drift SE and weaken
considerably through Tue.

$$
ADAMS
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371
AXNT20 KNHC 041058
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1215 UTC Tue Mar 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: Winds will turn to the SE and strengthen
offshore of Florida today as a strong storm system moves through
the central and eastern United States. Widespread strong to near-
gale force S winds and rough seas will be possible north of 27N
and west of 75W tonight through Wed ahead of a cold front
associated with the storm system. The cold front is forecast to
move off the southeastern coast of the US on Wed, and local gale
force winds and very rough seas will be possible surrounding the
front as it moves eastward through Thu. Large N swell will
propagate southeastward through late week, producing widespread
rough seas north of 25N through Thu, and north of 22N through Fri.

Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: Fresh to strong SE winds will occur
in the central and western Gulf of Mexico today as a storm
system strengthens in the central United States. A warm front will
lift northward through the north-central Gulf this morning,
promoting widespread fresh to strong S winds and rough seas for
areas west of 85W. A strong pressure gradient associated with the
storm system may support a period of gale force winds in the
northeastern Gulf offshore of Alabama and Mississippi.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 05N09W and extends to
01S22W. The ITCZ continues from 01S22W to 00N49W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is observed south of 08N
between 10W and 44W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1027 mb high is centered offshore of Virginia, USA, and ridging
extends southwestward into the Gulf of Mexico. Elsewhere, a 986
mb low is strengthening over the Central High Plains. The
tightening pressure gradient between these features is supporting
moderate SE winds east of 87W including through the Florida
Straits. West of 87W, fresh to strong SE winds prevail. Building
seas of 8 to 9 ft are noted offshore of southeastern Texas, with
moderate seas occurring through the central and western Gulf with
the exception of the Bay of Campeche, where slight seas prevail.
Seas of 2 to 4 ft are occurring in the eastern Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh to strong SE winds will occur in the
central and western Gulf of Mexico today as a storm system
strengthens in the central United States. A warm front will lift
northward through the north-central Gulf this morning, promoting
widespread fresh to strong S winds and rough seas for areas west
of 85W. A strong pressure gradient associated with the storm
system may support a period of near-gale force winds in the
northeastern Gulf offshore of Alabama and Mississippi. A cold
front is forecast to enter the northwestern basin later today,
with fresh to locally strong N to NW winds expected behind the
front, mainly offshore of the US Gulf coast, and offshore of
Veracruz. Fresh to strong NW winds will prevail east of 92W and
north of 25W Wed into Thu as the cold front moves southeastward
through the basin. Looking ahead, high pressure building over the
central United States late this week will support moderate to
locally fresh E to SE winds across the basin.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A cold front extends from the central Atlantic southwestward into
northwestern Hispaniola and to 11N76W. Locally fresh NE winds are
occurring in the wake of the front through the Windward Passage
and in the lee of Cuba. Farther south, low pressure over
northwestern Colombia is maintaining locally fresh E winds in the
Gulf of Venezuela, with fresh to strong winds offshore of
northwestern Colombia. Seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail through much of
the basin, with seas of 4 to 7 ft noted in the area of fresh winds
offshore of Colombia.

For the forecast, prevailing low pressure over northwestern
Colombia will lead to pulsing fresh to locally strong NE to E
winds through the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore of Colombia this
week, with the strongest winds occurring each night and morning.
Moderate to fresh NE winds are expected through early Wed across
the Windward Passage and downwind of Cuba as the pressure gradient
strengthens between a cold front in the central Atlantic, high
pressure offshore of the eastern United States, and the Colombian
low. Fresh to locally strong SE winds will be possible this
evening into Wed in the Gulf of Honduras. Otherwise, moderate
trade winds and slight to moderate seas are expected across the
central and eastern Caribbean this week.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Surface ridging continues to build over the SW N Atlantic waters
in the wake of a cold front that at 0600 UTC extends from 31N53W
to 20N73W to just east of Jamaica. Fresh to locally strong NE
winds are occurring north and west of the front north of 23N.
Rough seas in the 8-10 ft range associated with this front are
affecting the Bahamas offshore waters.

The remainder of the tropical and subtropical Atlantic is under
the influence of a 1027 mb high pressure system centered SW of the
Azores. The modest pressure gradient is forcing moderate to fresh
E winds in the trade waters region of the central Atlantic,
especially west of 28W. Seas in these waters are 8 to 10 ft. Over
the eastern subtropical waters, fresh N to NE winds prevail W of
the Canary Islands to about 31W, supporting rough seas in the 8 to
10 ft range, highest N of 25N.

For the forecast W of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
rough seas will occur north of 20N through midweek as a strong
pressure gradient prevails between a cold front in the central
Atlantic and high pressure just offshore of the eastern United
States. Strong NE winds will be possible through the Bahamas and
west of 65W this morning, with strong winds expanding farther east
to 55W this afternoon into Wed. Elsewhere, winds will turn to the
SE and strengthen offshore of Florida today as a strong storm
system moves through the central and eastern United States.
Widespread strong to near-gale force S winds and rough seas will
be possible north of 27N and west of 75W tonight through Wed ahead
of a cold front associated with the storm system. The cold front
is forecast to move off the southeastern coast of the US on Wed,
and local gale force winds and very rough seas will be possible
surrounding the front as it moves eastward through Thu. Large N
swell will propagate southeastward through late week, producing
widespread rough seas north of 25N through Thu, and north of 22N
through Fri. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades and rough seas
will prevail south of 25N this week.

$$
ADAMS
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829
AXNT20 KNHC 171000
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Mar 17 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1011 mb low pressure is analyzed
near 24N54W. Recent satellite derived wind data indicate gale
force winds in the northern semicircle of the low, particularly
from 25N to 29N between 50W and 55W. These winds are within a
larger area of fresh to strong easterly winds that covers roughly
the waters from 22N to 31N between 41W and 62W. These winds are
the result of the pressure gradient between the low pressure and
strong high pressure located N of the low. Gale conditions will
likely last through tonight, then diminish to fresh to strong
winds through Tue morning. This pattern will also support rough to
very rough seas east of 70W through mid week. The low will move
toward the NW over the next 24 hours, then northward through mid-
week while weakening.

W Atlantic Gale Warning: An occluded low is expected to develop in
the vicinity of a cold front by midweek. The front is already
moving across the W Atlantic, analyzed from 31N79W to 28N81W. Gale
conditions will begin on Tue night near 29N71W, then drift E
through Wed as the system moves E. Rough to very rough seas will
prevail with these winds.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the Liberia/Sierra
Leone border near 07N12W and continues southwestward to 03N16W.
The ITCZ extends from 03N16W to 01S30W to the coast of NE Brazil
near 02.5S42W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 300
nm on either side of the boundaries.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A cold front extends from 26N82W to 21N87W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted ahead of the front, affecting the Yucatan
Channel. This convective activity is also reaching the Yucatan
Channel. High pressure of 1025 mb centered over the NW Gulf
follows the front. Fresh to strong northwest to north winds and
moderate to rough seas are noted in the wake of the front while
gentle to moderate SW winds are moderate seas are occurring ahead
of the front. Winds and seas could be higher near tstms.

For the forecast, the front will continue to move southeast and
away from the area this morning. Fresh to strong northerly winds
behind the front will prevail though tonight. Looking ahead, high
pressure will settle over the basin through mid week. As the high
pressure moves toward N Florida, fresh to strong southerly return
flow will set-up over the NW Gulf tonight into Tue. Looking ahead,
the next cold front is expected to enter the Gulf region by mid week.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface ridge extends across the Bahamas and Cuba into the NW
Caribbean while a cold front is moving across the SE Gulf of
Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula. This pattern is allowing for
fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean and
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 7 ft over the NW
Caribbean and near the coast of Colombia, and 3 to 5 ft
elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection prevails in the Yucatan
Channel ahead of a cold front.

For the forecast, the cold front will enter the NW Caribbean this
morning. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas will
follow the front, which is forecast to reach from eastern Cuba to
the Gulf of Honduras by tonight, and from the Windward Passage to
near Cabo Gracias a Dios, Nicaragua on Tue before dissipating Tue
night into Wed. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds will prevail
across the NW Carribbean through mid week. In addition, NE fresh
to strong winds will pulse across southern Cuba, the Windward
Passage, and south of Haiti through the same period due to a
developing low pressure north of the area. Seas in this area will
range from 4 to 8 ft. High pressure over the central north
Atlantic combined with the Colombian low will support pulsing
winds to fresh to strong speeds at night offshore Colombia
throughout the forecast period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the central Atlantic associated
with a strengthening low pressure. Another Gale Warning will
develop in the W Atlantic by midweek in the vicinity of an
occluded low. Refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Aside from the gale areas, high pressure ridge extends across the
remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters. A cold front reaches
the Canary Islands followed by moderate to fresh winds and 8 to 15
ft seas in NW swell, east of 35W. Moderate to fresh trade winds
dominate the tropical Atlantic with seas of 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, as the above mentioned low moves
NW over the next 24 hours, gale-force winds east of 55W will
prevail through tonight. Winds will then diminishing to fresh to
strong through Tue morning. This pattern will also support rough
to very rough seas east of 70W through mid week. Farther west, a
strong cold front has pushed off the SE United States coast, with
fresh to near-gale force winds and rough seas in its vicinity. The
front will reach from 31N68W to the Turks and Caicos and eastern
Cuba Tue morning, and from Bermuda to Puerto Rico Wed morning. By
mid week, a low pressure system may develop along this front
supporting near-gale to gale force winds and very rough seas
between Bermuda and the Bahamas.

$$
ERA
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568
AXNT20 KNHC 191039
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Mar 19 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1025 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: Complex low pressure system near Bermuda is
producing gale force N to NW winds north of 27N between 69W and
74W, along the western side of the low's circulation. Building
seas of 18-22 ft are within the area of gale force winds. Strong
to near gale force cyclonic winds and rough to very rough seas are
found over much of the SW North Atlantic. This area of low
pressure will continue moving south to southeast today, supporting
gale-force winds and very rough seas between Bermuda and the
Bahamas through tonight. Peak seas are forecast to reach 23 ft
later this morning, with the area of 12 ft or greater seas
expanding to cover much of the western Atlantic offshore zones
north of 20N. Winds and seas will gradually diminish across the
region beginning Thu night as the low shifts northeastward and
steadily weakens.

Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to move off
the Texas coast later this morning and quickly proceed eastward.
Strong to near gale-force N winds will follow the front, except
for gale-force NW-N winds off Veracruz Thu afternoon. Seas will
build to 9 ft. Winds and seas will diminish Thu night.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea-
Bissau near 11N15W, continuing southwestward to 02N30W. The ITCZ
extends from 02N30W to near the far northern coast of Brazil near
01N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed south of 05N.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Please read the Special Features section for information about the
Gale Warning off Veracruz.

A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over Florida and
lower pressures over Texas and NE Mexico support fresh to strong
southerly winds over much of the western Gulf of Mexico. Seas in
these waters are 6-10 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, fresh to strong southerly winds and rough seas
will continue through this morning across the western Gulf waters
due to a tight pressure gradient. A cold front will move off the
coast of Texas later this morning and travel quickly eastward. The
front will reach from southern Alabama to Veracruz tonight, from
Cape Coral to the Yucatan Peninsula Thu afternoon, and exit the
basin Thu night into early Fri. The front will be followed by
fresh to strong N winds and rough seas, except for minimal gales
off Veracruz Thu afternoon. Winds and seas will diminish across
the basin on Fri morning with high pressure establishing across
the basin afterward. Fresh to strong E winds will develop off NW
Yucatan and spread into the western Gulf waters Sat night into Sun morning.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

High pressure over Florida supports fresh to strong northerly
winds in the lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and off the Tiburon
Peninsula of Haiti. Seas in these waters are 3-6 ft. Fresh to
strong NE winds and moderate seas are noted off NW Colombia in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are evident in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, fresh to strong easterly trade winds will
prevail through early next week in the central Caribbean. Building
ridge north of the area will result in an increase in areal
coverage of the winds Fri through the early next week. Gale-force
winds will pulse offshore Colombia at night on Sat and Sun, along
with rough to very rough seas. Fresh to near gale-force winds will
prevail in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean during
the weekend and through early next week. The aforementioned ridge
will also sustain fresh to strong NE winds in the lee of Cuba and
the Windward Passage through tonight. Looking ahead, the tail of a
cold front will enter the NW Caribbean early Fri and dissipate Fri evening.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section for information about the
Atlantic Gale Warning in the SW North Atlantic.

Outside of the Gale Warning area, seas 8 ft or greater are north
of 20N between 46W and 80W. A cold front, associated in part with
the gale force low, extends from 31N62W to 25N61W to 19N19W along
the north coast of Hispaniola. Fresh to strong SW to S winds
prevail to 43W and north of 22N. Weak 1007 mb low pressure
analyzed near 30N57W should be absorbed by the gale force low
pressure this morning.

The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge. The pressure gradient between this ridge and
lower pressures north of the area result in fresh to strong
cyclonic winds and rough seas north of 27N and east of 35W.
Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas prevail
south of 22N between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, complex low pressure system located
near Bermuda supports strong to gale-force W-NW winds and rough
to very rough seas across the SW North Atlantic waters. The
strongest winds and highest seas are found north of 27N and
between 69W and 74W. The broad non-tropical system is forecast to
make a counter-clockwise loop and turn north on Thu, moving away
from our area. The strong to gale-force winds and rough to very
rough seas will continue through tonight, then gradually diminish
through Fri as the winds and seas slide eastward. Looking ahead,
fresh to strong southerly winds will develop over the NE Florida
offshore waters on Thu afternoon ahead of a strong cold front
forecast to enter the NW offshore waters late Thu. Strong to near
gale-force W-NW winds and rough to very rough seas will follow
this front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to the central
Bahamas late Fri. The front will move E of the area on Sat,
allowing high pressure to build in and winds and seas to diminish.

$$
Delgado
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973
AXNT20 KNHC 201029
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Mar 20 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1025 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A weakening, broad area of low pressure
centered near Bermuda continues to produce strong to gale-force
cyclonic winds over much of the SW North Atlantic, especially
between 55W and 75W. These winds result in rough to very rough
seas, peaking near 17 ft. A cold front is analyzed from 31N54W to
17N62W. Scattered moderate convection is observed north of 20N and
between 49W and 60W. Winds and seas will gradually diminish as
the system lifts N of the area later today.

Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A fast-moving cold front extends
from SE Louisiana to near Tuxpan, Mexico. Marine observations
indicate that fresh to near gale-force northerly winds are
occurring behind the front. Gusts may occasionally reach gale
force early this morning. The front is forecast to reach from
Tampa, Florida to Veracruz, Mexico this afternoon. Brief minimal
gales are expected off Veracruz with the passage of the front this
afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected the strongest
winds. Winds and seas will diminish in the SW Gulf tonight into Fri morning.

SW Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a ridge
north of the Caribbean and lower pressures in N Colombia will
tighten leading to the development of pulsing gales at night over
the offshore waters N of Colombia from Fri through Sun. Rough to
very rough seas are expected with the strongest winds. Winds and
seas will diminish by the middle of next week.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea-
Bissau near 12N16W, continuing southwestward to 04N23W. The ITCZ
extends from 04N23W to 02S43W. Isolated showers are observed
within 120 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Please read the Special Features section for information about the
Gale Warning expected off Veracruz.

A cold front extends from SE Louisiana to near Tuxpan, Mexico. A
few showers are noted near the frontal boundary. Recent marine
observations indicate that strong to near gale- force NW-N winds
follow the frontal boundary, especially in the NW Gulf waters.
Gusts may occasionally reach gale force this morning. Seas behind
the frontal boundary are 7-10 ft. Fresh to strong NW winds and
moderate seas are occurring off Veracruz. In the remainder of the
basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the front is forecast to reach from Tampa,
Florida to Veracruz, Mexico Thu afternoon before it moves E of the
basin early on Fri. Brief minimal gales are expected off Veracruz
with the passage of the front Thu afternoon. Very rough seas are
expected the strongest winds. Winds and seas will diminish across
the basin Fri morning through Sat night as high pressure develops
over the NE Gulf. A surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula will
move into the Bay of Campeche at night Fri through Sun, enhancing
winds to fresh to strong speeds in the Peninsula adjacent waters.
Looking ahead, the next cold front will come off Texas Sun night into Mon.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning
expected over the waters off NW Colombia.

A stationary front extends from the Leeward Islands to just north
of the ABC islands. A few weak showers are seen near the boundary.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a 1018 mb high pressure
system centered near the NW Bahamas. Fresh to strong NE winds and
moderate seas are occurring in the south-central Caribbean due to
the pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and lower
pressures in northern Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are found in the north-central and SE Caribbean,
Windward Passage, lee of Cuba and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, building ridge north of the area will sustain fresh
to strong easterly trade winds over the central Caribbean through
the forecast period. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned
ridge and lower pressureS over N Colombia will result in near
gale-force winds across the south-central waters Fri night through
Mon night, with pulsing gales at night offshore Colombia Fri
through Sun. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the
strongest winds Fri night through the middle of next week. Looking
ahead, the tail of a cold front will enter the NW Caribbean early
Fri and dissipate Fri evening. The aforementioned building high
pressure will result in fresh to strong NE winds resuming in the
Windward Passage and the lee of Cuba Fri evening through Sun
night, and east winds of the same speed at night in the Gulf of
Honduras Sun and Mon.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section for information about the
Atlantic Gale Warning in the W Atlantic.

The SW North Atlantic is dominated by the expansive low pressure
system discussed in the Special Features, especially east of 75W.
West of 75W, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are noted.
The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a narrow
ridge centered well west of the Azores. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and a strong low pressure east of Portugal
result in moderate to locally strong W-NW winds north of 26N and
east of 30W. Seas in these waters are 10-14 ft. Moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds and seas of 6-9 ft are found south of 21N and
between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are evident.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weakening, broad area of low
pressure centered near Bermuda continues to produce strong to
gale-force cyclonic winds over much of the SW North Atlantic,
especially between 55W and 75W. These winds result in rough to
very rough seas. Winds and seas will gradually diminish as the
system lifts N of the area later today. Meanwhile, a cold front
currently moving across the Gulf of Mexico will sustain fresh to
strong southerly winds in the NE Florida offshore waters this
afternoon. The strong front will enter the basin this evening and
strong to near gale-force NW winds and rough to very rough seas
will follow. The front is which is forecast to reach from 31N71W
to Andros Island and W Cuba Fri morning, and from 31N57W to the
southern Bahamas Sat morning where it stall before dissipating
late Sat. High pressure will build NE to E of the Bahamas in the
wake of the front the remainder weekend. Looking ahead, a weak
cold front may enter the NW offshore waters Mon night.

$$
Delgado
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631
AXNT20 KNHC 240830
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Mar 24 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between an Atlantic
high pressure ridge and the Colombian low is supporting strong to
gale force winds off the coast of Colombia, where seas are
peaking near 14 ft. Winds and seas will diminish today. Another
pulse of gale force winds are expected offshore of Colombia
tonight, with seas building to 13 ft late tonight in the area of
strongest winds. Winds will diminish below gale force Tuesday
morning, with strong to near gale force winds then pulsing off
Colombia through at least midweek.

Gale Warning E of 35W: the pressure gradient between high pressure
located near the Azores and lower pressures in NW Africa supports
near gale force NE to N winds in the Agadir marine zone of Meteo-
France. Winds over these waters are forecast to increase to gale-
force today as the high shifts eastward. Seas are expected to
increase to 10 to 13 ft during this period.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N12W and continues
southward to 01N29W. The ITCZ extends from 01N29W to coastal
Brazil near 02S40W. Scattered clusters of moderate to strong
convection are noted from the equator to 06N between 08W and 23W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface trough is over the SW Gulf just west of the Yucatan
peninsula. High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf. The
pressure gradient between these features is supporting fresh to
locally strong winds NW of the Yucatan peninsula. Seas of 4-5 ft
are noted over these waters. Over the NE Gulf, Light winds and
seas of 2 ft or less prevail. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas
of 2-4 ft are elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail over the Gulf,
supporting moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds over the
western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the
eastern basin into mid-week. A surface trough will develop over
the Yucatan Peninsula and move into the Bay of Campeche nightly
through early this week, supporting pulses of fresh to locally
strong winds over adjacent waters. The next cold front will skirt
the NE Gulf with little impact tonight into Tue. High pressure
building into the basin in its wake will lead to moderate to fresh
SE winds and building seas across the NW Gulf by Thu.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A Gale Warning is in effect offshore Colombia. Please, refer to
the Special Features section above for more information.

Aside from the area of gale force winds off Colombia, fresh to
near gale winds, and seas of 8-12 ft, are over the Central
Caribbean. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-7 ft are over the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 4-7 ft,
prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of
Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of
Colombia tonight, with nightly pulses to near gale likely through
at least mid-week. Fresh to occasionally strong NE winds will
pulse in the Windward Passage tonight. Fresh to strong SE winds
will extend across the Gulf of Honduras into mid- week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the Agadir marine zone of Meteo-
France.. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for
more information.

A surface trough extends from 31N48W to 22N56W. Light to gentle
winds, with seas of 7 to locally 8 ft are in the vicinity of the
trough. High pressure dominates the remainder of the Atlantic
discussion waters. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 2-5 ft, are
W of the trough. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft,
cover the remainder of the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the western
Atlantic will support gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas
north of 22N early this week. The area of high pressure will shift
eastward today enabling a weak cold front to move off the
northeast Florida coast tonight. Fresh to locally strong winds are
likely to pulse off the northern coast of Hispaniola into mid
week. Another cold front may move into waters between northeast
Florida and Bermuda Wed.

$$
AL
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011
AXNT20 KNHC 040905
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Apr 4 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between strong high
pressure of 1032 mb located north of the near Bermuda and the
Colombian Low will continue to support fresh to near gale trades
across the Caribbean through Sat afternoon. The winds should reach
gale force overnight just north of Colombia, with seas building
to 13 or 14 ft.

Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front moving across the
north- central Atlantic will move into the discussion waters south
of 31N late Sat and reach from 31N40W to 29N55W by Sat evening.
SW winds to gale force are likely within 90 nm ahead of the front
north of 28N. Winds will diminish to below gale force by Sun
morning as the front shifts southward. Looking ahead, even though
the winds may gradually diminish, the front will be followed by
large to very large NW swell that will envelop most of the
Atlantic east of 60W through the middle of next week.

Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: A Gale Warning issued by Meteo-
France remains in effect for the marine zone of Madeira through
05/00Z. The forecast calls for westerly winds at times 8 force of
the Beaufort Wind Scale. Very rough seas are expected within
these winds. These marine conditions are associated with a 990 mb
low pressure off Portugal. For more details, refer to the Meteo-
France High Seas Forecast listed on their website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2 .

...MONSOON TROUGH/INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through the coast of
Liberia near 05N09W and extends southwestward to 03N12W. The ITCZ
continues from 03N12W to the coast of NE Brazil near 02S42W.
Scattered moderate convection is active from 01N to 06N between
15W and 20W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong SE winds are noted across the basin between high
pressure over the western Atlantic and 1000 mb low pressure over
west Texas. Seas are 7 to 10 ft over the western Gulf, and 5 to 7
ft over the eastern Gulf except for up to 8 ft in the Straits of
Florida. No significant showers or thunderstorms are evident at
this time. However, platform observations are showing visibility
as low as 1 1/2 miles in sea fog across the northern Gulf.

For the forecast, a strong pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and low pressure over N Mexico/Texas will continue forcing
fresh to near gale SE winds across the basin through Sat
afternoon. The moist SE flow may allow areas of sea fog to persist
across the northern Gulf into Sat. A strong late- season cold
front will emerge off of the Texas coast Sat evening. Fresh to
near gale N winds and rapidly building seas will follow the front
over the western Gulf Sun and Mon with northerly gales possible
near Tampico on Sun morning, and off Veracruz by late Sun
afternoon. The cold front will extend from the Florida panhandle
to the eastern Bay of Campeche Mon followed by fresh to strong N
winds. Looking ahead, the front will weaken as it moves southeast
of the area Tue followed by weak high pressure over the northern
Gulf. Winds and seas will diminish accordingly through Tue night
in all but the far southeast Gulf where fresh winds and rough seas
may persist.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A Gale Warning is in effect near the coast of Colombia. Please refer
to the Special Features section for more details.

Recent scatterometer satellite data confirms fresh to strong
trade winds across much of the basin, with winds near gale force
occurring in the central Caribbean and also offshore NW Colombia.
Concurrent altimeter satellite data shows seas are 8 to 12 ft
over the central and eastern Caribbean. Strong to near-gale force
winds are also observed across the Gulf of Honduras, and extend as
far north as the southern coast of Quintana Roo. Seas are likely 7
to 9 ft in this area. Moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
basin. Shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is moving
westward across the region producing isolated passing showers
primarily into the Leeward and Windward Islands.

For the forecast, the strong pressure gradient from the Bermuda High to
the Colombian Low will continue to produce fresh to near-gale
force trade winds across the Caribbean through Sat afternoon.
From Sat night through early next week, the Bermuda High weakens
contributing toward reduced winds over the basin. However, strong
trades will still continue north of Colombia, south of Hispaniola,
and over the Gulf of Honduras on Sun and Sun night. Rough to very
rough seas will accompany the winds. By Mon and Tue as the
weakened Bermuda High shifts eastward, trades across the Caribbean
will be reduced to only moderate to fresh. Looking ahead, a cold
front may reach the northwest Caribbean Tue with winds shifting
from southeasterly to northerly.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect E of 35W in the Meteo-France forecast
region. Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

A cold front enters the Atlantic forecast waters at 31N38W and
continues to 27N50W and on to 27N63W. Fresh N to NE winds and 6
to 8 ft follow the front. The subtropical ridge is anchored by
1030 mb high pressure east of Bermuda near 24N60W. This pattern is
supporting fresh to strong E to SE winds and 7 to 10 ft seas south
of 25N and west of 45W, with near-gale force winds pulsing off the
northern coast of Hispaniola and near the northern approaches to
the Windward Passage. Mostly moderate winds and seas are noted
elsewhere west of 35W. Farther east, another cold front moving
into Morocco extends into the eastern Atlantic from 25N15W to
25N30W. Gentle to moderate breezes follow the front and dominate
east of 35W, but with N swell of 7 to 11 ft north of 15N and east
of 35W, and 5 to 7 ft farther south.

For the forecast west of 55W, the strong Bermuda High will
continue to force fresh to strong trades south of 25N through
tonight. As the Bermuda High weakens on Sat through early next
week, fresh to strong trades will be restricted to near the SE
Bahamas and the Windward Passage. Beginning Sat night, a large N
swell will start impacting the waters east of 60W and will subside
through late Tue. Fresh to locally strong S winds will develop
off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night and Mon ahead of a
cold front moving through the southeastern United States. The cold
front is forecast to move off of the coast Mon night, and reach
from Bermuda to eastern Cuba by mid week, followed by fresh to
strong NE winds and moderate to rough seas.

$$
Christensen
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485
AXNT20 KNHC 050906
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Apr 5 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0600 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front/frontal trough moving
across the north-central Atlantic will move into the discussion
waters south of 31N today and reach from 31N44W to 29N52W by this
evening. SW winds to gale-force are expected within around 90 nm
ahead of the front north of 28N. Winds will diminish below gale-
force Sun morning as the front shifts southeastward. Meanwhile, a
related large N swell will start impacting the waters east of 62W
tonight and will subside by mid-week. This swell will produce seas
12 to around 20 ft south of 31N from Sat night through Mon, then
gradually subside afterward. Seas of 12 ft or greater will reach
to 18N Mon night.

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a strong
1026 mb high pressure located SW of Bermuda and a 1008 mb
Colombian Low will continue to support strong to near-gale trade
winds across the south-central Caribbean through Sat night. Winds
offshore of northwestern Colombia are expected to remain at or
near gale-force until around sunrise today, and will peak back at
gale-force again tonight with seas reaching 12 to 14 ft under the
strongest winds.

Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A strong late-season cold front
will emerge off of the Texas coast tonight. Fresh to near-gale N
winds and rapidly building seas will follow the front over the
western Gulf Sun and Mon, with northerly gales forecast near
Tampico on Sun morning, and off Veracruz Sun afternoon. The cold
front will extend from the Florida panhandle to the eastern Bay of
Campeche Mon followed by fresh to strong N winds.

...MONSOON TROUGH/INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through the coast of
Sierra Leone near 07N12W, then extends southwestward to 04N17W.
An ITCZ continues from 04N17W to the NE coast of Brazil near
00.5S47W. Widely scattered moderate convection is observed from
the Equator to 04.5N between 24.5W and 30W, and from the Equator
to 04N between 44W and the coast of Brazil.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the western Gulf of Mexico.
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Fresh to strong SE winds continue across most of the Gulf early
this morning, between high pressure over the western Atlantic
near Bermuda and 1003 mb low pressure over NE Mexico. This
sustained return flow is producing seas of 8 ft and higher across
most of the waters W of 87W and N of 21N, with peak seas of 10-11
ft. Seas are 5 to 8 ft over the remainder of the basin, except to
9 ft in the Straits of Florida. Scattered showers are occurring
over the NW Gulf due to convergent surface winds in the area.
Recent satellite imagery also indicates the development of sea fog
within roughly 60 nm of the TX and LA coasts, with low visibility
being a potential hazard in these areas.

For the forecast, a strong pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and low pressure over south-central U.S. will continue
forcing fresh to near-gale SE winds across the basin today. The
moist SE flow may allow areas of sea fog to persist across the
northern Gulf into this morning. A strong late-season cold front
will emerge off of the Texas coast tonight. Fresh to near gale N
winds and rapidly building seas will follow the front over the
western Gulf Sun and Mon, with northerly gales forecast near
Tampico on Sun morning, and off Veracruz Sun afternoon. The cold
front will extend from the Florida panhandle to the eastern Bay of
Campeche Mon followed by fresh to strong N winds. The front will
weaken as it moves southeast of the area Tue followed by weak high
pressure over the northern Gulf. Winds and seas will diminish
accordingly through Tue night in all but the far southeast Gulf
where fresh winds and rough seas may persist.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the waters near the coast of
Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Gale-force winds off the northern coast of Colombia persist early
this morning due to a tight pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the area and the Colombian low. The remainder of
the basin is dominated by fresh to strong trades, including the
northern Caribbean passages, except near gale-force in the Gulf of
Honduras. Seas are 6 to 10 ft across the majority of the basin,
with localized seas up to 12 to 14 ft offshore of northern
Colombia Colombia.

For the forecast, a strong pressure gradient from the Bermuda
High to the Colombian Low will continue to produce gale-force
winds N of Colombia until around sunrise, with another round
forecast tonight. Rough to very rough seas will accompany these
winds. Fresh to near-gale trades will prevail across most of the
remainder of the basin, including Atlantic passages and the Gulf
of Honduras. By early next week, as the weakening Bermuda High
shifts eastward, trades across the Caribbean will be reduced to
moderate to fresh. A cold front may reach the northwest Caribbean
Tue with winds shifting from southeasterly to northerly behind it.
The front may then stall and dissipate over the NW Caribbean mid-week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the far NE Atlantic waters east of
42W. Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

A weakening cold front enters the Atlantic forecast waters along
31N24W and continues to 24N48W. A surface trough, formerly part
of the aforementioned front, then extends from 24N48W to 25N65W.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and 6 to 10 ft seas follow the
front. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and
within 100 nm ahead of the front. The subtropical ridge is
anchored by 1026 mb high pressure SW of Bermuda near 29N67W. This
pattern is supporting fresh to strong E to SE winds and 7 to 10
ft seas from offshore of the northern portion of the Greater
Antilles through the Bahamas and Straits of Florida. Mostly
moderate winds and seas are noted elsewhere across the basin,
except moderate to fresh S of 19N where seas are 6 to 9 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a Bermuda High will continue to
force fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas from
offshore of the northern portion of the Greater Antilles through
the Bahamas and Straits of Florida through tonight. A frontal
trough will rotate through the NE waters today and tonight,
bringing fresh to strong winds through tonight. At the same time,
a large N swell will start impacting the waters east of 62W
tonight and will subside by mid-week. Fresh to strong S winds will
develop off the coast of northeast Florida tonight and Mon ahead
of a cold front moving through the southeastern United States. The
front is forecast to move off of the coast Mon night, and reach
from Bermuda to eastern Cuba by mid-week where it may stall and
become a trough. This front will be followed by fresh to strong NE
winds and moderate to rough seas.

$$
Lewitsky
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723
AXNT20 KNHC 060932
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Apr 6 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Atlantic Gale Warning/Swell Event: A cold front is moving
southward east of Bermuda and is now along 30N. Recent
scatterometer satellite data indicated SW winds to minimal gale
force within 90 nm ahead of the front. In addition to the gale
force winds, buoy observations and altimeter satellite data
indicated large N swell is following the front. The front will
continue southward east of 65W through early next week, before
eventually stalling and dissipating along 20N by late Tue. Winds
will diminish below gale- force through late Sun. Meanwhile, the
swell will produce seas 12 ft as far south as 18N through Mon
night, with highest seas near 30N around 23 ft. The swell will
subside below 12 ft through mid week.

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 1025 mb high
pressure of 1025 mb southwest of Bermuda near 31N70W and a 1010
mb Colombian Low will continue to support strong to near- gale
force trades across the south-central Caribbean through tonight.
Winds will peak at gale-force through the early morning off
Colombia with seas reaching to 12 ft with the strongest winds.

Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A strong late-season cold front is
moving into the northwest Gulf this morning. The front will reach
from Mobile Bay to Coatzacoalcos, Mexico by Sun evening, followed
by strong to near- gale force N winds and building seas. Winds
will reach gale force off Tampico, Mexico Sun morning, and off
Veracruz, Mexico by Sun afternoon. The winds will diminish below
gale force into Mon night, as the front reaches from Cedar Key,
Florida to near Merida, Mexico, but strong winds and rough seas
will follow the front across most of the western Gulf.

Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas and Offshore Waters
Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center, at website:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

...MONSOON TROUGH/INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through the coast
of Guinea near 10N14W and continues southwestward to 02N20W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ and extends to near the coast of
Brazil near 02S47W. Scattered moderate convection is active from
02S to 04N between 10W and 45W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the western Gulf of Mexico.
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

A strong late-season cold front extends from near Cameron,
Louisiana to Tecolutla, Mexico. A recent buoy observations and
scatterometer satellite data showed strong to near- gale force
northerly winds and seas to 9 ft following the front over the
northwest Gulf. Fresh to strong SE to S winds and 8 to 11 ft seas
are noted across the central Gulf ahead of the front, and moderate
to fresh SE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas are evident across the
eastern Gulf. The moist southerly flow ahead of the front is
sustaining areas of sea fog, and platform observations indicate
visibility is 2 to 5 miles in these areas. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms are active over Matagorda Bay in Texas
following the front.

For the forecast, the cold front will reach from Mobile Bay to
Coatzacoalcos, Mexico this evening, followed by strong to near-
gale force N winds and building seas. Winds will reach gale force
off Tampico, Mexico later this morning, and off Veracruz, Mexico
by this afternoon. The winds will diminish below gale force into
Mon night, as the front reaches from Cedar Key, Florida to near
Merida, Mexico, but strong winds and rough seas will follow the
front across most of the western Gulf. Winds and seas will
diminish through Tue from west to east as high pressure builds
over the southern Plains and the front moves southeast of the
basin. Looking ahead, gentle breezes and slight seas will persist
Wed into Thu in all but the southeast Gulf, where large swell may
persist through Wed.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the waters near the coast of
Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Recent scatterometer satellite data indicate strong to near- gale
force winds off Colombia, in the Gulf of Honduras and across the
Windward Passage. Since this pass occurred around 0130 UTC, the
winds off Colombia have likely increased to gale force. The
observations also confirm fresh to strong E to SE winds across the
basin, except for the eastern Caribbean, south of Cuba in the
northwest Caribbean, and south of 10N off Panama and Costa Rica.
These winds are due to a tight gradient between 1025 mb high
pressure west of Bermuda, and lower pressure over northern
Colombia. Altimeter satellite data and buoy observations indicate
9 to 13 ft over the central Caribbean, 8 to 11 ft over the Gulf of
Honduras and off Belize, 7 to 9 ft in the Windward Passage, and 5
to 8 ft elsewhere. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted
between Haiti and Jamaica and south of the Dominican Republic.

For the forecast, a strong pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian Low will continue to produce strong trade
winds across the central Caribbean, the Atlantic Passages and the
Gulf of Honduras through this morning, with another pulse of gale-
force winds expected offshore of Colombia tonight. Rough to very
rough seas will accompany these winds. The Bermuda high will
weaken and shift eastward late Sun through mid-week, leading to
diminishing trades across the Caribbean. A cold front is expected
to reach the northwest Caribbean Tue morning, with fresh to
locally strong northerly winds filling in behind it. The front
will move eastward and stall from central Cuba to NE Honduras and
through Thu before dissipating.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in effect for the far NE Atlantic waters east of
40W. Please refer to the Special Features section for more details.

In addition to the gale-force winds ahead of the cold front described
in the Special Features section, fresh to strong winds and rough
seas are noted near the front covering the area north of 28N
between 30W and 55W. Farther west, 1025 mb high pressure is centered
southwest of Bermuda near 30N72W. Recent scatterometer satellite
data shows this pattern is supporting fresh to strong E winds
near the approaches of the Windward Passage and north of Haiti. It
also show E to SE winds in the Old Bahama Channel between Cuba and
the Bahamas. Moderate to occasionally fresh NE to E winds are
evident over the tropical Atlantic, with 6 to 8 ft seas. Farther
east, fresh N winds and rough seas are noted off Senegal. Gentle
to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere, with 5 to 7 ft seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh N to NE winds and large swell
follow a cold front extending from 31N38W to 27N55W to 31N65W.
High pressure southwest of Bermuda is supporting fresh to strong
winds off the north coast of Hispaniola and near the approaches to
the Windward Passage, and fresh to strong S winds off northeast
Florida ahead of an approaching cold front expected to move off
the northeast Florida coast Mon night into Tue. Looking ahead, the
front will generally stall from Bermuda to central Cuba by mid-
week, followed by fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough seas.

$$
Christensen
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