ACUS11 KWNS 150440
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150439=20
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-150615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0187
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1139 PM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025

Areas affected...southern Arkansas...far northern Louisiana...and
into northern and western Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 36...38...

Valid 150439Z - 150615Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 36, 38 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado risk is evolving across portions of southern
Arkansas, far northern Louisiana, and western Mississippi.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a band of supercells moving
eastward across Arkansas at this time, several with ongoing/strong
circulations evident. The southern portion of this band -- over
southern Arkansas -- will continue moving eastward across
northwestern portions of Tornado Watch 38. Meanwhile farther east,
a supercell is crossing southern Leflore County in west-central
Mississippi, which is also exhibiting low-level rotation.=20

Meanwhile, other/weaker convection is evolving south of this storm,
where CAMs suggest potential for an increase in severe-storm
potential over the next couple of hours. Given the favorable
environment (both kinematically and thermodynamically), expect risk
to continue across portions of WW 38 for several hours across this
region.

..Goss.. 03/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7DR9M50xomz1L8I8CZ5T1CKSF9cstRormvIuSg_tlY6uY9DE8AAqM8YOT0JTL-5ZWNyFv6JNr= bncd1cs3VKJV8p05ys$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON 33949290 34289258 34438971 34068862 33138940 32058982
32109123 33269371 33949290=20


=3D =3D =3D
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